Russia and Turkey are not showing signs of stopping as tensions continue to escalate in Syria. The West recently refuted Russia’s push against Turkey while Moscow is reinforcing its troops in its Armenia base near Turkey. As warned before, concerned parties and analysts said that failure to reconcile the differences of the two countries could lead to WW3.
Russia’s goals in Syria appears to be simple, according to analysts. The country is ready to fight should its interests be threatened. Turkey, on other hand, seems to be looking into more ambiguous things, according to Global Research. According to the analysis, Turkey appears to be ready for an invasion at certain points while at other times, it emphasizes its disinterest over such.
There have been consistent talk about how high ranking Turkish military commanders technically oppose any attack on Syria and that they do not want to engage in a war with Russia. It appears that only President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wants to engage in conflict. The president maintained that Turkey has rights to conduct ops in Syria. “Turkey has every right to conduct operations in Syria and the places where terror organizations are nested with regards to the struggle against the threats that Turkey faces,” RT quoted the president in a Hurriyet newspaper. The president also insisted that Turkey’s position has “absolutely nothing to do with the sovereignty rights of the states that can’t take control of their territorial integrity.”
Additionally, the US also seems to be siding with Turkey on this one as Al Jazeera reported Western Powers rejecting Russia’s proposed UN resolution to stop Turkey’s cross-border shelling in Syria. The draft, which was presented during an emergency Security Council meeting, stipulated that it wants to “cease any actions that undermine Syria’s sovereignty.”
If Russia and Turkey engage in direct confrontation, they will be dragging along with them their powerful allies. Turkey is a strong NATO and United States ally. The alliance can invoke article 5 which states that an attack to an ally is an attack to all. If NATO comes in defense of Turkey, Russia will have its counter-move: China. This scenario spells an outright WW3.
Francois Delattre, France’s UN ambassador said that the existing military escalation is “the direct result of the brutal offensive in the north of Syria led by the Syrian regime and its allies.” Russia should see that supporting Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad leads to a “a dead end that could be extremely dangerous.” Nonetheless, Russia is not taking any chances as it just deployed several fighter jets and a transport helicopter to its airbase in Armenia near the border with Turkey, according to Press TV.