South China Sea Arbitration: Ruling Favoring Philippines Could Spell War

South China Sea Arbitration: Ruling Favoring Philippines Could Spell War
US Navy 120207-N-LP801-038 USS Germantown is underway in the South China Sea U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist Seaman Raul Moreno Jr. / Wikimedia Commons Public Domain
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A most-awaited ruling over territorial claims made by Philippines concerning the South China Sea could create more tensions between Washington and Beijing.


This comes ahead of an essential military meeting between the two countries, which will take place during next month. It was being feared that the ruling could actually be the final straw for a new war.

In July, Adm. John Richardson Chief of Naval Operations would be going to Beijing for the first face-to-face meeting with Adm. Wu Shengli, head of the Chinese Navy.

This is his first big step into the world of military activities after he had taken up the top Navy job. The four-star admiral said so during a Monday panel discussion at the Center for a New American Security’s annual symposium in Washington.

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According to Breaking Defense, Adm. Richardson had already been in a number of conversations with his Chinese counterpart since becoming the Navy’s top officer last April.

China is on a mission to stop US power in two ways.

The first idea is to to build an Anti-Access/Area Denial (A2/AD) network. This would be layered with high-end force of cyber/electronic weapons, long-range sensors, anti-ship missiles, anti-aircraft missiles, strike planes, submarines, and mines.

However, it is more likely that China would be using its low-end force. China owns the maritime equivalent of Vladimir Putin’s Little Green Men.

These are Chinese Coast Guard vessels along with dredging ships and fishing boats, which can enter deep into disputed region without creating the risk of a military clash.

With these setups, China is planning to keep US forces from interfering in what China considers its backyard.

According to The Washington Post, the Chinese officials have made repeated declarations that they do not consider the court to be legitimate in the South China Sea dispute.

Chinese officials have strictly suggested that they will not stick to any decision if it is made in favor of the Philippines.

Patrick Cronin is senior director of CNAS’s Asia-Pacific Security Program. On Monday, he said that what happens after the ruling is yet to be determined.

With the complexity of alliances dragged into the South China Sea dispute, the ruling favoring the Philippines’ territorial claims could even spell World War 3.

As previously reported by Morning News USA, as much as 60 nations already supported China’s territorial claim in the South China Sea. Russia has already expressed its support of Beijing.

On the other side of the equation, the Philippines and the United States have long been allies since World War 2. Just recently, America deployed its electronic attack aircraft in the Philippines.

READ: South China Sea Dispute: Indonesia Provoking War, Shoots Chinese Fisherman In Disputed Region

ALSO READ: South China Sea War: US Deploys Two Carrier Strike Groups In Philippine Sea

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